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Journal of the American College of Cardiology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of the American College of Cardiology's content profile, based on 12 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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An ECG foundation model for generalizable cardiac function prediction across the lifespan

Yang, Y.; Peracchio, L.; Mayourian, J.; Miller, T.; La Cava, W.

2026-05-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354128 medRxiv
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Background Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) enables scalable, low-cost cardiac dysfunction screening, but existing models are annotation-intensive and predominantly adult-derived, leaving paediatric generalizability uncertain. Paediatric cohorts exhibit highly variable cardiac morphology and function compared to adults, which may be useful for learning generalizable AI-ECG models. Methods We pretrained ECG-Fyler on a predominantly paediatric, all-age cohort at Boston Children's Hospital (1992-2023), annotated with a cardiology-specific coding system (Fyler codes), and evaluated it on assessments from echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) studies. We validated on an external adult cohort from Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Performance was benchmarked against several AI-ECG foundation models by AUROC across age groups, lesion types, and limited-data scenarios. Findings The pretraining cohort comprised 782,138 ECGs from 255,271 patients (median age: 10.9 years, IQR: [2.8-16.8]). Internal evaluation included 178,495 ECG-echo pairs (median age: 10.9 [3.7-17.0]) and 8,584 ECG-CMR pairs (median age: 20.7 [15.6-29.6]). External validation included 82,543 ECG-echo pairs from adults (median age: 64.0 [52.0-74.0]). ECG-Fyler improved AUROC across biventricular dysfunction and dilation tasks, with the largest gains in low-data settings. In internal validation, ECG-Fyler detected low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF [&le;] 40%) from only 100 fine-tuning samples (AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.78-0.80]), outperforming other models (AUROC < 0.65) and improving with additional fine-tuning (AUROC: 0.94 [0.93-0.94]). Similar improvements were observed for CMR-derived LVEF, RVEF, and ventricular dilation. In external validation on adults, ECG-Fyler exhibited an AUROC of 0.83 (CI: [0.82-0.85]) for LVEF [&le;] 40%. After fine-tuning on less than 10% of external data, LVEF [&le;] 45% performance (AUROC: 0.87 [0.86-0.88]) outperformed a fully trained, site-specific prior model (AUROC: 0.85 [0.84-0.87]). Interpretation Pretraining on richly annotated, paediatric-dominant ECGs yields models that transfer efficiently across institutions and ages, supporting AI-ECG screening and triage when labels or imaging access are limited. Funding National Institutes of Health (R01LM012973); Kostin Innovation Fund, Boston Children's Hospital

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A Common CD36 Variant and the Genetic Landscape of Dilated Cardiomyopathy in Individuals of African Ancestry

Challa, S.; Biddinger, K.; Abramowitz, S.; Zheng, A.; Mead, J. O.; Judy, R. L.; Jurgens, S.; Gaziano, L.; Wang, X.; Choi, S. H.; Halford, J.; Jordan, E.; Liu, J.; VA Million Veteran Program, ; Penn Medicine Biobank, ; Chang, K.-M.; Vest, A.; Tang, W. H. W.; Tsao, P.; Kinnamon, D. D.; Damrauer, S. M.; Ellinor, P. T.; Levin, M.; Hershberger, R. E.; Huffman, J. E.; Aragam, K. G.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353838 medRxiv
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Importance Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a major cause of heart failure that disproportionately affects individuals of African genetic ancestry (AFR), among whom familial clustering of disease is also more pronounced relative to those of European ancestry (EUR). However, established monogenic DCM genes, identified primarily in EUR populations, explain a smaller proportion of DCM cases in AFR populations. A recent study identified a common AFR-specific nonsense variant in CD36 that accounts for a substantial burden of DCM in AFR. How the risk and population impact of this variant compare with those of established genetic causes of DCM is unknown. Objective To compare the contribution of a CD36 nonsense variant to DCM risk with that of truncating variants in TTN and pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in other established DCM genes. Design, Setting, and Participants Multicohort genetic association study including AFR and EUR participants with exome or genome sequence and DCM case status from four datasets: All of Us, Million Veteran Program, Penn Medicine Biobank, and the DCM Precision Medicine Study. Exposure Carrier status for TTN truncating variants, P/LP variants in 11 high confidence DCM genes, and the CD36 nonsense variant (Y325*; 0, 1, or 2 copies). Main Outcomes and Measures Odds of DCM; prevalence of risk-variant carriers among DCM cases; and population attributable fraction (PAF) for DCM. Results Among 82,623 AFR individuals across four studies, the mean age was 53.4 years and 1,625 had DCM. CD36 Y325* risk-allele homozygotes had 4.8-fold (95% CI, 3.1-7.3) increased odds of DCM, and CD36 Y325* heterozygotes had 1.4-fold (95% CI, 1.2-1.7) increased odds. TTN truncating variants also conferred elevated risk of DCM in AFR participants (OR, 8.46; 95% CI, 5.3-12.3). Among AFR DCM cases, 2.5% were CD36 homozygotes, second only to TTN truncating variants (4.3%) and exceeding all other high-confidence DCM genes combined (1.5%). In population-level analyses incorporating both heterozygous and homozygous CD36 Y325* carriers, the population-attributable fraction for CD36 (9.0%) surpassed that of TTN truncating variants (3.6%). Conclusions and Relevance An ancestry-specific CD36 variant contributes more to DCM burden in AFR ancestry than established DCM genes, including TTN truncating variants, typically considered the most common genetic cause of DCM. These findings reshape the known genetic architecture of DCM in individuals of African ancestry and highlight the importance of representation in genomic research.

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Periosteal pressure sensitivity-guided non-pharmacological intervention lowers cardiovascular event rates after five years in ischemic heart disease: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial

ballegaard, s.; Gyntelberg, f.; Afzal, S. A.; Faber, J. A.; Hjalmarson, A.

2026-05-29 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354261 medRxiv
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Background: People with ischemic heart disease (IHD) remain at high risk of recurrent major cardiovascular events despite contemporary therapy. Over two decades, a translational research program has evaluated pressure pain sensitivity (PPS) as a non-invasive marker of central autonomic dysfunction and a mutual risk phenotype in IHD and type 2 diabetes. A PPS-guided non-pharmacological intervention has been shown to substantially reduce five-year all-cause mortality in IHD. Methods: In a randomized controlled trial, 213 adults with stable IHD and elevated PPS, suggesting ANSD, were allocated to PPS-guided intervention (n=106) or control (n=107). The active group received three months of structured education (daily PPS self-measurement, cutaneous sensory nerve stimulation, supportive mental and physical exercises, telemedical feedback) followed by self-directed continuation. Controls received a booklet on general stress-management. The primary endpoint for this prespecified secondary analysis was a composite of eight major cardiovascular events. Results: Over 5 years, at least one major adverse cardiovascular event occurred in 19.8% of the PPS-guided group versus 43.8% of controls (odds ratio 0.32, 95% CI 0.17-0.62, P=0.0003). Incidence rates were directionally in favor of active intervention across all event categories (P=0.004). Conclusions: A brief PPS-guided non-pharmacological intervention, followed by self-directed continuation, was associated with a marked long-term reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events, complementing previously reported large reductions in all-cause mortality in the same cohort. Within the context of a multi-decade PPS research program, these findings support PPS-guided care as a low-resource autonomic intervention ready for pragmatic scale-up testing as an adjunct to cardiometabolic care.

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Polygenic risk of cardiovascular disease manifests in cardiac structure and function

Felici, B.; Ritchie, S. C.; Khullar, S.; Foguet, C.; Persyn, E.; Manikpurage, H. D.; Liu, Y.; Lambert, S. A.; Ip, S.; Rudd, J. H. F.; Inouye, M.

2026-06-08 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354998 medRxiv
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Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are highly heritable, but pathogenesis at the organ and physiological level is still poorly defined. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), which estimate individual genetic susceptibility to a disease, may allow for the identification of associated abnormal organ structures. Ultimately, identifying where cardiovascular polygenic risk manifests can guide early interventions, shape mechanistic hypotheses, and motivate prevention trials for cardiac remodelling. This study investigated the association between PRSs for five common CVDs [heart failure (HF), coronary artery disease (CAD), atrial fibrillation (AF), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and ischaemic stroke (IS)] and 28 imaging-derived phenotypes (IDPs) from cardiac magnetic resonance imaging of ~62,000 participants in UK Biobank. To investigate the cardiac features associated with elevated polygenic risk of CVDs, we tested CVD PRSs against cardiac IDPs and identified 97 significant associations (FDR [&le;] 0.05). We further identified 32 significant putative mediators between CVD PRSs and incident disease events, revealing that across CVDs, polygenic risk manifested as distinct patterns in cardiac structures. HF implicated all cardiac chambers, including left ventricular and left atrial dysfunction alongside enlarged aorta. AF was characterised by biatrial enlargement and reduced ejection fractions, most prominently in the left atrium but also involving left ventricular wall thickness. IS exhibited left ventricular hypertrophy and left atrial dysfunction, while CAD predominantly involved left ventricular hypertrophy. AAA was primarily characterised by enlarged descending aorta. Overall, cardiac IDPs mediated a substantial proportion of polygenic risk for CVDs, in particular for HF. Taken together, our results show that cardiac structure and function lie on the pathway between polygenic risk and cardiovascular events.

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Allostatic Load in Adults with Congenital Heart Disease: A Multi-Cohort Analysis of the All of Us Research Program

Finn, M. T. M.; Soria Zurita, S. L.; Veldtman, G. R.

2026-05-22 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353630 medRxiv
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Background. Adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) are a growing population and face unique challenges as they age. Unlike acquired diseases that disrupt a previously healthy baseline, CHD is developmentally embedded. Allostatic load, the multi-system biological "wear and tear" exacted by the continuous cost of coping, offers a framework for indexing this lifelong psychophysiological stress. Methods. We analyzed 14,469 adults from the All of Us Research Program: non-syndromic CHD (n = 6,810), acquired heart disease (AHD; n = 2,264), non-cardiac chronic illness (n = 4,331), and a general population comparison cohort (GP; n = 1,064). Using a standardized operationalization, allostatic load was scored across five biomarker domains (AL5, range 0-5). A pre-specified primary test compared adjusted AL5 between CHD and GP. Exploratory analyses examined clinical predictor of this gap and whether baseline subjective health predicted prospective AL5 change, utilizing strictly matched biomarkers across timepoints to prevent substitution artifacts. Results. Adults with CHD carried significantly higher allostatic load than the general population comparison cohort (adjusted difference +0.30 AL5 units, 95% CI 0.24-0.37, p < .001). Cumulative comorbidity and cardiac medication burden explained most of this gap. Congenital anatomical complexity did not independently predict this burden. In a prospective subsample (n = 8,031, mean follow-up 2.7 years), worse baseline mental health predicted increases in allostatic load over time in CHD. Baseline physical health showed no such prospective association. The general population and acquired heart disease cohorts demonstrated the inverse dissociation: subjective physical health predicted these longitudinal physiological changes. Conclusions. Adults with CHD carry an elevated allostatic burden dictated by the cumulative cost of acquired medical and treatment intensity. The original congenital anatomy does not predict this accumulation. Furthermore, subjective mental health prospectively tracks future increases in allostatic load in CHD. This dissociation is absent in adult-onset acquired heart disease, suggesting that the mental aspects of coping with CHD may impact outcomes above and beyond those with acquired heart disease. These findings position psychological care as a potentially physiologically consequential intervention.

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Rationale and Design of an Artificial Intelligence Model for Diastolic Heart Failure (AID- HF): A Canadian Cardiomyopathy Collaborative (C3) Study

Papaz, T.; Patel, S.; Akilen, R.; Min, S.; Lesurf, R.; Rouleau, J.-L.; Ruiz, M.; Lam, C. Z.; Dragulescu, A.; Friedberg, M. K.; Mertens, L.; Tremblay-Gravel, M.; Krahn, A. D.; Tadros, R.; Mital, S.

2026-05-29 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354226 medRxiv
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Diastolic heart failure (HF) in primary cardiomyopathy is under-recognized and often diagnosed late, particularly in children. While recent studies have advanced understanding of HF with preserved ejection fraction in older adults, the prevalence, outcomes and molecular drivers of diastolic HF in pediatric and young adult cardiomyopathy remain poorly defined, where disease is typically driven by primary myocardial disease rather than acquired co-morbidities. The Canadian Cardiomyopathy Collaborative (C3) was assembled to leverage three of Canadas leading pediatric and adult cardiomyopathy biobank registries. Its flagship initiative, Artificial Intelligence to Model Diastolic Heart Failure (AID-HF), aims to integrate deep phenotyping - including comprehensive diastolic function assessment - with genomics, lipidomics and proteomics and apply machine learning to identify biological and clinical signatures that drive cardiac function and outcomes in cardiomyopathy. Harmonized phenotyping and multiomics protocols across registries will create a uniquely integrated national data resource and enable the goals of AID-HF i.e., earlier diagnosis and new therapeutic targets for diastolic HF in cardiomyopathy.

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Integrated Right-Heart Remodeling Phenotypes and Prognosis in Tricuspid Regurgitation: An Automated Strain Echocardiography Study

Park, J.; Kwak, S.; Yoon, Y. E.; Park, J.-B.; Kim, J.; Jeon, J.; Jang, Y.; Lee, S.-A.; Bak, M.; Choi, H.-M.; Hwang, I.-C.; Lee, S.-P.; Kim, H.-K.; Kim, Y.-J.; Cho, G.-Y.

2026-06-01 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354377 medRxiv
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Background: Echocardiographic assessment of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) remains valve-centric, and right-heart remodeling is not captured. Strain parameters carry prognostic value but are evaluated in isolation. Objectives: To develop integrated right atrial (RA) and right ventricular (RV) remodeling indices using automated echocardiography and assess their utility for TR severity grading, phenotyping, and prognostic stratification. Methods: We analyzed 8,231 patients with functional TR (mild-or-greater) from two tertiary centers (2023-2024) using an automated AI-based echocardiographic solution. The RA remodeling index (RA reservoir strain/RA volume index) and RV remodeling index (RV free wall strain/RV end-diastolic area) were derived automatically; patients were classified into four RA-RV remodeling phenotypes. The primary outcome was all-cause death or heart failure (HF) hospitalization. Results: During median follow-up of 19.3 months, the primary outcome occurred in 574 patients (7.0%). Both indices outperformed individual components for severe TR discrimination (RA: AUC 0.857 vs. 0.757; RV: 0.710 vs. 0.601; both P<0.05). After multivariate adjustment, the RA (HR per unit decrease, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.09-1.49; P=0.002) and RV remodeling indices (2.32; 1.76-3.06; P<0.001) were independently associated with the primary outcome; on mutual adjustment, only the RV index retained significance and provided incremental prognostic value ({Delta}C-index +0.010; NRI +0.237; both P<0.05). The four phenotypes showed progressively divergent risk (log-rank P<0.001), with combined remodeling (Low RA/Low RV) carrying the highest risk. Conclusions: Automated integrated RA and RV remodeling indices improved TR severity discrimination and enabled clinically meaningful right-heart phenotyping. The RV index conferred incremental prognostic value, whereas the RA index better reflected atrial-stage remodeling and disease burden.

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Soft Tissue-to-Bone Ratio on Routine Bone Scintigraphy as an Opportunistic Imaging Biomarker of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Burden

Spielvogel, C. P.; Kluge, K.; Ning, J.; Kumpf, K.; Nitsche, C.; Hengstenberg, C.; Slomka, P. J.; Hacker, M.

2026-06-09 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355179 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a leading driver of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Whole-body molecular imaging is well-positioned to phenotype such syndromes, yet no imaging biomarker quantifies cumulative CKM burden. Bone scintigraphy with 99mTc-labeled bisphosphonates is widely performed and expanding with transthyretin amyloidosis assessment, under which Perugini grade 0 (absent cardiac uptake) is considered clinically benign. Objective: We hypothesized that the soft tissue-to-bone ratio (STBR) on these scans captures CKM burden and is an independent prognostic biomarker. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 8,769 consecutive patients without cardiac uptake on 99mTc-DPD whole-body planar scintigraphy. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and heart failure hospitalization. Cox models were adjusted for ten established cardiovascular risk factors. Imaging-phenotype association (IPA) analysis mapped STBR to 1,210 clinical traits. STBR distribution across CKM stages was assessed in four prespecified analyses, including a non-cancer subgroup. Results: During a median follow-up of 5.1 years (IQR 2.5-8.2), 2,418 deaths occurred. Patients with prespecified STBR >0.5 (n=772, 8.8%) had significantly higher mortality (adjHR 1.73, 95% CI 1.54-1.94, p<0.0001) with an adjHR of up to 3.42 at higher thresholds (95% CI 2.05-5.42, p<0.0001). Hazard increased monotonically with STBR. STBR >0.5 was independently associated with MACE (adjHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.11-2.05, p=0.008) and heart failure hospitalization (adjHR 1.31, 95% CI 1.02-1.67, p=0.03). The association was robust across all prespecified subgroups and sensitivity analyses, including continuous STBR and patients without renal insufficiency. IPA analysis identified significant associations with type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, chronic ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, liver disease, amyloidosis, and hypertension among binary traits, as well as with CRP, NT-proBNP, BUN, cholesterol (inverse), and hemoglobin (inverse) among continuous parameters. STBR increased monotonically across CKM stages in all sensitivity analyses (all p<0.0001). Conclusions: STBR derived from routine 99mTc-DPD bone scintigraphy in patients without cardiac uptake is an independent prognostic imaging biomarker associated with cumulative cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic burden. As an opportunistic measure from scans already acquired at scale, STBR could refine CKM risk stratification at no additional cost, radiation, or acquisition time.

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Left Atrial Stiffness Trajectories Identify Distinct Prognostic Phenotypes in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction

Sun, J.; Park, J.; Bae, N. Y.; Lim, J.; Kwak, S.; Bak, M.; Choi, H.-M.; Park, J.-B.; Yoon, Y. E.; Lee, S. P.; Kim, Y.-J.; Cho, G.-Y.; Kim, H. K.; Hwang, I.-C.

2026-05-22 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353741 medRxiv
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Background: Treatment response in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is assessed predominantly through left ventricular (LV) functional recovery, while longitudinal changes in left atrial (LA) hemodynamic burden remain underexplored. The LA stiffness index (LASI), derived from E/e' and LA reservoir strain, integrates LV filling pressure and LA compliance. Objectives: We investigated longitudinal trajectories of LASI and their prognostic implications in HFrEF treated with angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI)-based therapy. Methods: From the multicenter STRATS-HF-ARNI registry, 1,039 patients with HFrEF who underwent serial echocardiography at baseline and one-year follow-up were classified into four LASI trajectory patterns dichotomized at the cohort median (1.22): persistently compliant (Group A, 46.8%), reverse remodeling (B, 28.5%), progressive stiffening (C, 3.2%), and persistently stiff (D, 21.6%). Results: On multivariable Cox regression, Group D was independently associated with elevated risks of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.68, 95% CI 1.57-4.59), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 4.36, 1.97-9.64), and HF hospitalization (aHR 3.83, 2.22-6.60), whereas Group B showed outcomes comparable to Group A. One-year LASI progression independently predicted all three outcomes. LASI elevation at one year predicted adverse outcomes even among patients with recovered LV function, and LASI trajectory classification provided incremental prognostic discrimination beyond conventional diastolic and strain parameters. Among sinus-rhythm patients (n=786), Group C exhibited the highest risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation. Conclusions: In HFrEF treated with ARNI-based therapy, LASI trajectories identify distinct prognostic phenotypes. Persistent LA stiffness confers adverse outcomes independent of LV recovery, and serial LASI assessment may enhance risk stratification beyond LV-centric metrics.

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Echocardiographic Characteristics, Measures of Severity and Natural History of Isolated Calcific Mitral Stenosis.

Haines, J.; Jacobson, T.; Ocran, S.; Kalvin, L.; Redmon, V.; Zhang, L.; Pan, A.; Garster, N.; Lewandowski, D.; Widlansky, M.; Mohananey, D.

2026-05-14 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352948 medRxiv
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IntroductionWith improved life expectancy, mitral annular calcification and calcific mitral stenosis (CMS) are increasing in prevalence. Echocardiographic evaluation of CMS is challenging due to acoustic shadowing and lack of CMS specific data on assessment of severity and outcomes. MethodsWe retrospectively identified patients with isolated CMS between the years 1/1/2010 and 4/5/2022. Severe CMS was defined as MVAcont [&le;]1.5 cm2. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, mitral valve replacement (MVR) and ischemic stroke. Outcomes were collected through electronic health records with follow up through 8/15/2025. ResultsOur cohort included a total of n=717 patients with CMS of which n=140 had severe CMS. The mean age was 74{+/-}13 years and cohort was predominantly female. We found that MVAPHT consistently overestimates the MVA and is a poor predictor of severe CMS. Mean gradient >5 mm Hg had 81% specificity and 57% sensitivity for severe CMS. Over a median follow up of 36 (IQR 10.5-49.7) months, a total of n=331 (46.2%) patients died, and the primary composite outcome occurred in n=370 (51.6%). Although MVAcont [&le;]1.5 cm2 [aHR 1.3 (95% CI 0.9-1.8),p=0.29] was not an independent predictor of the primary outcome we found that mTMG was a significant independent predictor primary outcome [aHR 1.5 (95% CI 1.1-2), p<0.01]. Patients with MVAcont [&le;]1.5 cm2 and mean gradient [&ge;] 5 mmHg had the highest risk for the primary outcome [aHR 2 (95% CI 1.1-3.7),p=.02]. ConclusionPatients with severe CMS are older, female with a high burden of comorbidities and carry an overall poor prognosis. mTMG is an independent prognostic marker in these patients. Patients with MVA [&le;]1.5 cm2 and mTMG [&ge;]5 mmHg have the worst prognosis.

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Structural Cardiac Abnormalities, Ventricular Dysfunction Phenotypes, and Heart Failure Risk among Antiretroviral Therapy-treated People Living with HIV in South Africa

Omar, Z.; PHIZA Study Team, ; Ahmed, A. A.; Wolfson, J.; Huang, Z.; Mgidlana, M.; Black, A.; Abd El Hadi, M.; Aremu, O. O.; Peterson, T. E.; Ntusi, N. A. B.; Meintjes, G.; Ntsekhe, M.; Baker, J. V.

2026-06-08 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354960 medRxiv
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Background: The manifestations of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people with HIV (PWH) differ by region globally. While HIV disease is associated with increased atherosclerotic CVD risk in the global North, non-ischemic heart failure (HF) is more common in sub-Saharan Africa, the global HIV epicenter. We estimated the effect of treated HIV on the frequency and phenotype of HF and its cardiac precursors in South Africa (SA). Methods: In an observational study, we recruited PWH on antiretroviral therapy (ART), age [&ge;]40 years and people without HIV (PWoH) with similar distributions of age, sex, ethnicity, and hypertension, from a community clinic in Khayelitsha (Cape Town, SA). Procedures included a clinical assessment, echocardiography (Echo), and b-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) measure. Echo parameters defined structural abnormalities, left ventricle (LV) filling pressure, and LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction (DD). HF was defined by symptoms and/or BNP [&ge;]35pg/mL and LV dysfunction, subcategorized as reduced, mildly reduced, or preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF). Comparisons by HIV status were adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, smoking, obesity, diabetes, elevated LDL-cholesterol, and hazardous alcohol use. Results: Between September 2022 and August 2025, we enrolled 1008 PWH and 500 controls [median (Q1-Q3) age 48 years (43-53), 77% female]. Among PWH and controls respectively, 37% and 39% had hypertension, 21% and 25% were current smokers, 40% and 45% were obese, and 9% and 17% had diabetes. LV systolic dysfunction (1%) and HFrEF (1%) were rare, and undiagnosed HFpEF (8%) was the predominant HF phenotype. Compared to controls, PWH had higher odds of elevated LV mass index (LVMI) (OR 2.1; 95%CI 1.5-3.0) and DD (OR 1.4; 95%CI 1.0-2.0). Risk for elevated LVMI and DD was greatest among women with HIV, who also had an increased risk for undiagnosed HFpEF (OR 1.9; 95%CI 1.2-3.2), compared to women without HIV; effects which were not seen among men (p=0.051 for HIV*Sex interaction). Conclusions: In a peri-urban SA community with a high burden of cardiometabolic risk factors, the frequency of abnormal structural and functional cardiac precursors of HFpEF was greater amongst ART-treated PWH. This was most pronounced amongst women with HIV, who also had increased risk of undiagnosed HFpEF.

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Prevalence and determinants of rheumatic heart disease among school-going children in Dhanusha district, southern Nepal: a cross-sectional echocardiographic screening study

Regmi, P. R.; Shakya, U.; Suwal, S. N.; Shah, R. K.; Shah, R.; Baidhya, P. R.; Tamang, A.; Thapa, S.

2026-05-20 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.15.26353362 medRxiv
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Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is a leading preventable cause of cardiac death in children in low and middle-income countries. Nepals epidemiological data come mainly from auscultation surveys that miss subclinical disease, and no echocardiographic screening study had been conducted in Dhanusha district, a densely populated, low-income region in southern Nepal. We aimed to determine the prevalence of borderline and definite RHD among school children (6-16 years) in Dhanusha using the 2012 World Heart Federation (WHF) echocardiographic criteria, identify independent predictors, and quantify school-level clustering via the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). In a cross-sectional study (January 2023-December 2024), we screened 4,536 children from 8 public schools selected by four-stage cluster sampling. RHD was classified by WHF 2012 criteria; predictors were identified using random-effects logistic regression with school as random intercept. Ethical approval was from the Nepal Health Research Council (Protocol No. 155/2023). Overall prevalence of borderline or definite RHD was 18.7 per 1,000 (95% CI 15.1-23.0); definite RHD was 6.8 per 1,000 (95% CI 4.7-9.7) and borderline RHD 11.9 per 1,000 (95% CI 9.0-15.5). Prevalence was higher in girls (23.3 per 1,000) than boys (13.6 per 1,000; P=0.02), with the peak in girls aged 10-14 years (26.0 per 1,000). Subclinical disease accounted for 64.7% of cases; auscultation sensitivity was 35.3%. Mitral valve involvement predominated. Female sex was the sole independent predictor (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.02-2.53; P=0.043). The school-level ICC was 0.19 (95% CI 0.07-0.44; P<0.001), giving a design effect of {approx}109. The echocardiographic RHD burden in Dhanusha (18.7 per 1,000) is the highest documented in Nepal. Two-thirds of cases are subclinical. Female sex and school attended explain a similar amount of variance in RHD risk, supporting school-targeted screening and informing sample size planning for future cluster-based surveillance.

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Prevalence, Genetics, and Imaging Characteristics of Patients with Mitral Valve Prolapse and Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy

Rich, A. H.; Tastet, L.; Cristin, L.; Jhawar, R.; Tang, J. J.; Scheinman, M.; Delling, F.

2026-05-19 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.14.26353246 medRxiv
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Background: Concomitant arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) and mitral valve prolapse (MVP) has only been described in case reports. Little is known about genetic and phenotypic characteristics of these patients. Objective: To describe the prevalence, genetics, and imaging characteristics of MVP in ARVC patients. Methods: We identified 111 definite ARVC cases through medical record review, arrhythmia/cardiomyopathy targeted gene panels, and contrast cardiac magnetic resonance data. MVP was diagnosed on echocardiography as mitral leaflet displacement greater than 2 mm above the annular plane in systole, with borderline MVP defined as less than or equal to 2 mm. Results: We found MVP/borderline MVP in 14% of ARVC patients. Cardiac arrest occurred in 20% of those with MVP/borderline MVP compared to 16% without valve abnormalities. Among 69 ARVC patients with identified genetic variants, PKP2 mutations were highly prevalent (64%), particularly in those with MVP (83%). Most MVPs had posterior prolapse (73%) and trace/mild mitral regurgitation (87%). None had mitral annular disjunction. ARVCs with MVP had higher LV mass (93 vs. 75 g/m2, p = 0.02) and a higher prevalence of LV wall motion abnormalities (27% vs. 5%, p = 0.02) compared to ARVCs without valve abnormalities. Conclusions: MVP is prevalent in ARVC and characterized by PKP2 variants in most cases. Typical features of arrhythmic MVP like bileaflet involvement and annular disjunction are rare in ARVC with MVP; features of arrhythmogenic left-sided cardiomyopathy (increased LV mass index and wall motion abnormalities) are more common. Further studies are needed to understand the role of MVP in arrhythmic risk stratification of ARVC.

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Resolving Diagnostic Discordance in Group 2 Pulmonary Hypertension Through Staged Physiologic Testing: Insights From PVDOMICS

Rischard, F.; PVCOMICS Study Group, ; Mendoza, M.; Insel, M.; Beck, G.; Erzurum, S.; Frantz, R. P.; Finet, J. E.; Hassoun, P.; Hemnes, A. R.; Hill, N. S.; Horn, E. M.; Leopold, J. A.; Mathai, S. C.; Mehra, R.; Reddy, Y. N. V.; Rosenzweig, E. B.; Systrom, D. M.; Tang, W. H. W.; Waxman, A.; Borlaug, B. A.

2026-06-10 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354961 medRxiv
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Background World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension (WSPH) Group 2 pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a clinically integrated phenotype attributed to left heart disease, whereas pre- versus post-capillary classification is operationalized primarily by pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP). Although current recommendations emphasize contextual interpretation and provocative testing for intermediate PCWP values, the relationship between PCWP-based classification and underlying phenotype has not been systematically evaluated. We aim to quantify phenotype-hemodynamic discordance across the PCWP spectrum and evaluate a staged physiology-guided framework incorporating inhaled nitric oxide (iNO), ventricular geometry, and provocative testing. Methods We studied 1,032 participants from the NHLBI-sponsored PVDOMICS cohort with multidisciplinary adjudicated phenotypes integrating clinical, imaging, physiologic, and hemodynamic data. Stage-specific PCWP thresholds classified pre- versus post-capillary physiology at rest, during iNO, and during provocation (fluid challenge or invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing [iCPET]). Echocardiographic right ventricular-to-left ventricular (RV/LV) ratio was evaluated as a marker of ventricular interdependence. Restricted cubic spline and staged concordance analyses defined certainty-based PCWP ranges and incremental diagnostic yield. Results Adjudicated Group 2 phenotype was present in 37.0% of participants. Resting PCWP demonstrated good discrimination (AUC 0.86), but substantial bidirectional phenotype-hemodynamic discordance persisted across intermediate PCWP ranges. At a resting PCWP of 12 mmHg, 25% of participants classified as pre-capillary had adjudicated Group 2 PH, whereas at 18 mmHg, 35% classified as post-capillary remained discordant non-Group 2. Concordance did not approach 90% until PCWP values were <9 mmHg or >24 mmHg. Dynamic testing incrementally improved concordance within these overlap zones. Nearly half of adjudicated Group 2 PH participants (46.5%) were not identified by resting PCWP alone; incorporation of iNO and provocative testing increased cumulative Group 2 identification by 63.4% and improved sensitivity from 79.9% to 83.7%. Model discrimination improved from an AUC of 0.863 to 0.908 (likelihood-ratio P<0.001). iNO increased PCWP in discordant Pre/G2 participants, unmasking latent left-sided limitation, while lowering PCWP in discordant Post/NonG2 participants, consistent with ventricular interdependence. RV/LV ratio [&ge;]0.94 reduced discordant Post/NonG2 classification by 70.5%, and incorporation of PCWP/cardiac output slope improved physiologic specificity during exercise. Conclusions Group 2 PH is a dynamic, load-dependent phenotype inadequately characterized by resting PCWP alone. Intermediate PCWP values represent continuous probabilities of bidirectional discordance rather than discrete diagnostic states. A staged physiology-guided approach integrating iNO, ventricular geometry, and provocative testing improves concordance between hemodynamic classification and clinically integrated phenotype assignment.

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Early Prediction of Post-TAVR Left Ventricular Remodeling Using CT-Derived Radiomics and Clinical Variables

Rezaeitaleshmahalleh, M.; Masoumi, S.; Razaviamri, F.; Rouhollahi, A.; Zancanaro, E.; Danesi, T. H.; Ayers, B. C.; Jassar, A.; Sabe, A.; Nezami, F. R.

2026-06-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354361 medRxiv
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Background: Adverse left ventricular (LV) remodeling after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is associated with impaired functional recovery and adverse long-term outcomes, yet imaging-based risk stratification remains limited. Objectives: This study sought to determine whether CT-derived radiomic and geometric myocardial features, integrated with procedural and clinical variables, can predict adverse LV remodeling after TAVR. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 232 consecutive TAVR recipients with paired pre- and post-procedural LV mass index (LVMI) measurements. Adverse remodeling was defined as a [&ge;]10% increase in LVMI at follow-up. Pre-procedural CT was used to derive three-dimensional LV geometric descriptors, ray-tracing wall-thickness metrics, and myocardial texture radiomic features. Random forest classifiers were developed across six models of sequentially increasing complexity. Results: Adverse LV remodeling occurred in 52 patients (22.4%). Geometry-only model showed limited discrimination (AUC 0.62), whereas wall-thickness radiomics substantially improved performance (AUC 0.84). A multimodal pre-procedural model combining CT radiomics with pre-procedural LVMI, residual valve insufficiency, and prior coronary revascularization achieved an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.98). Addition of post-procedural mean transvalvular gradient further improved discrimination (AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.98). SHAP analysis identified post-procedural mean aortic gradient and radiomic markers of myocardial heterogeneity as the leading predictors. Conclusions: CT-derived radiomic characterization of myocardial heterogeneity provides incremental prognostic information beyond conventional geometric assessment for identifying patients at risk of adverse LV remodeling after TAVR. These findings extend the role of pre-procedural CT beyond anatomical planning toward quantitative myocardial phenotyping and individualized risk stratification, although prospective validation is required to establish clinical utility.

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The LV-LA Health Score: A Novel Marker of Integrated Myocardial Structure and Function

Estrella, F.; Chiswell, K.; Sun, J.-L.; Duckworth, M.; Vasan, R. S.; Pattison, B.; Provencher, A.; Judd, S. E.; Velagaleti, R.; Douglas, P. S.; Bloomfield, G. S.; Soliman, E.; Chen, Y.-D. I.

2026-06-09 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26353379 medRxiv
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Background Myocardial remodeling precedes symptomatic heart failure, which is important to detect early. We assessed feasibility and clinical correlates of a novel integrated assessment of myocardial remodeling in a large rural cohort in the Southeastern United States. Methods Echoes were obtained with AI assistance (Caption guidance) in 3100 adults in the NHLBI-funded RURAL cohort study. Of those, 1895 had quantifiable global longitudinal strain (GLS), left ventricular mass (LVM), and left atrial volume (LAV). LV-LA Health was based on a simple count of sex-specific abnormalities (0-3), indexed to body surface area (BSA) or height (Table 1). Relationships with demographics and risk factors were compared with Spearman correlation and Mantel-Haenszel tests, with moderate and severe results combined. Results Median (IQR) age was 49 (40-58). Impaired LV-LA Health is common even in a low PREVENT cardiovascular (CV) risk population (median 10-year risk 3.3%; 25th, 75th 1.2,7.2) with preserved ejection fraction (EF; 60%; 57,62). The prevalence of abnormalities differed greatly by indexing method: 18.2% with BSA (15.1% mild; 3.1% mod/severe) vs 51% with height (38.3% mild; 12.7% mod/severe) (Figure 1). LV-LA impairment increased with age, PREVENT CV risk score and cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity); all p<0.001. Impairment was more common in Black vs White people (p<0.001) and differed by sex only with height indexation. Conclusions A novel LV-LA health composite of routinely acquired echocardiographic measures identifies substantial subclinical cardiac remodeling in a middle-aged rural community cohort, not detected by PREVENT score or ejection fraction. This is the first application of this framework in a large, unselected community sample. Indexation method affects prevalence, with BSA likely underestimating risk in adiposity-enriched populations. Findings suggest a high rural burden and longitudinal evaluation with future CV events is ongoing.

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Total Beating-Heart Aortic Arch Repair Without Cardiac Arrest: A Proof-of-Concept Study

Wisniewski, K.; Dell'Aquila, A. M.; Carranza Porras, V.; Dinkel, F.; Martens, S.; Rukosujew, A.

2026-06-01 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354390 medRxiv
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Background Cardioplegic arrest during complex aortic arch repair imposes prolonged global myocardial ischaemia, which may contribute to postoperative low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS) and mortality. Whether cardioplegic arrest can be entirely avoided -- performing the complete procedure on a continuously perfused, beating heart -- has not previously been evaluated in a clinical series. Methods and Results Between November 2017 and January 2026, 29 consecutive patients underwent total beating-heart aortic arch repair without any cardioplegic arrest at a single centre. Continuous antegrade myocardial perfusion (warm blood, 34{degrees}C, 300-400 mL/min, perfusion pressure 60-80 mmHg) was delivered via an aortic root needle vent throughout each procedure. Two variants were employed: axillary cannulation with selective antegrade cerebral perfusion (n = 24, 82.8%), and direct aortic cannulation with extra-anatomical left carotid bypass for distal Zone 2 pathology (n = 5, 17.2%). Mean age was 55.4 {+/-} 13.6 years; 41.4% presented with aortic dissection (B/non-A-non-B). No patient required conversion to cardioplegic arrest. Perioperative myocardial infarction and LCOS occurred in none of the patients. Median peak CK-MB was 44.0 U/L. Thirty-day mortality was 10.3% (n = 3); all deaths were due to respiratory failure or visceral ischaemia complicating acute type B dissection. Conclusions Total beating-heart aortic arch repair without cardioplegic arrest is technically feasible and clinically safe in appropriately selected patients and is associated with the complete absence of perioperative myocardial infarction and LCOS across a heterogeneous, high-risk cohort. These findings support prospective, multicentre evaluation of no-arrest myocardial protection as a strategy to reduce the cardiac morbidity of complex arch surgery.

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Baseline substrate and response after cardiac resynchronization therapy in non-left bundle branch block heart failure

Liang, Y.; Zhu, Y.; Wang, R.; Gu, R.; Sang, C.; Bao, Z.; Sun, L.; Xia, T.; Xiang, G.

2026-05-19 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.14.26353260 medRxiv
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Background: Response to cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is heterogeneous in patients with non-left bundle branch block (non-LBBB) heart failure. Whether pre-implant substrate or procedural characteristics provide the more stable framework for predicting 1-year echocardiographic response remains uncertain. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 120 non-LBBB patients undergoing CRT. The primary logistic model included left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left atrial diameter, log-transformed NT-proBNP, baseline QRS duration, fragmented QRS burden across V1?V6 leads, and pulmonary artery pressure. Missing predictor data were handled using multiple imputation with 20 datasets. Model performance was assessed using bootstrap internal validation and recalibration. A prespecified procedural extension added pacing strategy, posterolateral biventricular left ventricular lead location, left ventricular pacing threshold, and right ventricular lead position. Exploratory phenotyping and sensitivity analyses were performed. Results: Echocardiographic response occurred in 51 patients (42.5%). LVEDD (OR, 0.899 [95% CI, 0.826?0.978]; P=0.013) and LVEF (OR, 1.068 [95% CI, 1.000?1.140]; P=0.050) were the most informative predictors. The primary model showed apparent AUC 0.811 and Brier score 0.173, with optimism-corrected AUC 0.766 and calibration slope 0.765. Procedural extension showed no retained incremental value after validation. Exploratory phenotyping identified three response patterns with moderate stability. Conclusions: In non-LBBB CRT, baseline structural, biomarker, and electrocardiographic substrate provided the most stable framework for predicting 1-year echocardiographic response. Procedural variables added limited retained value, suggesting that pacing strategy should be interpreted alongside baseline substrate.

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Accelerated hematopoietic aging in type 1 diabetes links telomere attrition to myocardial infarction

Xu, Z.; Jiang, H.; Admassu, T.; Yeung, S.; Roy, S.; Ruffing, C.; Shanguhyia, M.; Syeda, Z. A.; Alagpulinsa, D. A.

2026-05-17 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.13.26353138 medRxiv
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Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is associated with early-onset and increased risk of coronary artery disease (CAD), particularly myocardial infarction (MI), that is not fully explained by traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Hematopoietic aging, marked by clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and leukocyte telomere length (LTL) attrition, has been linked to CAD risk in the general population. We investigated whether T1D is associated with increased prevalence and earlier onset of CHIP and accelerated LTL attrition, and whether these processes contribute to CAD risk. We analyzed 416,565 UK Biobank participants (1,342 T1D cases) with harmonized CHIP calls and qPCR-derived LTL measurements. T1D was defined using ICD-10 codes, diagnosis before age 40 years, and insulin initiation within one year. CHIP was defined as variant allele fraction >=2%, with higher thresholds evaluated in sensitivity analyses. Multivariable regression compared CHIP prevalence, age-specific CHIP probability, and LTL between T1D and controls. Associations of CHIP and LTL with prevalent and incident (median follow-up approximately 13.5 years) MI and CAD were evaluated within T1D. Mendelian randomization, conjFDR, and integrated single-cell genomic analyses assessed genetic relationships. CHIP prevalence was higher in T1D than in controls (4.40% vs 3.00%; absolute risk difference 1.39%, 95% CI 0.29 to 2.49; p=3.7x10-3), with higher adjusted odds (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.23; p=6.9x10-5). Age modeling indicated an approximately 7-year earlier shift in CHIP risk in T1D (3% prevalence at age 52.2 vs 59.0 years). Mean LTL did not differ significantly between T1D and controls (beta -0.040 SD; p=0.13); however, T1D disease duration was associated with shorter LTL independent of covariates (beta -0.0082 SD per year; p=0.002). Within T1D, shorter LTL was associated with higher risk of both prevalent and incident MI (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.91; p=0.003; HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.91; p=0.012). CHIP was not significantly associated with MI or CAD in this cohort. Genetic analyses supported a bidirectional relationship between T1D and LTL, but not CHIP, and identified 47 T1D-LTL loci enriched for hematopoietic stem and progenitor cell pathways. In conclusion, T1D is associated with accelerated hematopoietic aging, reflected by earlier and more prevalent CHIP and disease duration-dependent LTL attrition. LTL attrition, but not CHIP, was associated with MI risk, implicating telomere dynamics as a contributor to excess cardiovascular risk in T1D.

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Sex Differences in Mortality and Treatment Utilization Across Cardiogenic Shock Phenotypes: A National Cohort Study

Alencar, A. P.; li, x.; Sawant, A.; Ibrahim, A.; Bashir, M.; Bandi, V.; Bhatt, K.; Jalil, A.; Chennareddy, V.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354172 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a heterogeneous syndrome with diverse etiologies, treatment pathways, and outcomes. Prior studies of sex differences in CS have largely focused on acute myocardial infarction-related CS or evaluated CS as a single entity. Whether sex-based differences in outcomes and treatment utilization vary across distinct CS phenotypes remains incompletely defined. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Inpatient Sample, a nationally representative all-payer database of United States hospitalizations. Adult hospitalizations with CS were identified using ICD-10-CM code R57.0 and categorized into clinically relevant phenotypes, including acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF), arrhythmia-related shock, myocarditis/Takotsubo, valvular disease, and other etiologies. Survey-weighted analyses accounting for the complex sampling design were used for primary analyses. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included use of mechanical circulatory support (MCS) and mechanical ventilation. Propensity score-matched analyses were performed as sensitivity analyses. Results Among 254,691 weighted CS hospitalizations, 158,747 (62.3%) occurred in men and 95,896 (37.7%) in women. In survey-weighted analyses, women had higher in-hospital mortality in AMI-related CS (36.1% versus 31.3%; OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.19-1.28), HF-related CS (30.5% versus 25.8%; OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.23-1.30), and arrhythmia-related CS (37.3% versus 31.6%; OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.20-1.38). Women were less likely to receive ECMO (2.4% versus 2.9%), IABP/Impella (13.1% versus 18.9%), or any MCS (14.6% versus 20.4%), but were more likely to receive mechanical ventilation (44.9% versus 42.9%). In propensity-matched analyses, mortality differences were attenuated but persisted in AMI-related, HF-related, and valvular CS. Conclusions Sex differences in CS outcomes and treatment utilization are strongly phenotype dependent. Women experienced higher mortality in major CS phenotypes while receiving less advanced mechanical circulatory support. These findings support early recognition, rapid phenotype classification, and sex-conscious but non-delayed escalation strategies for women with CS.